H/W: 6-3, 240
Acquired: Traded from Chicago Cubs for cash (9/14/16)
Current Salary: $1,200,000 (+ up to $1,200,000 available in bonuses)
Team Control: through 2017
Combined WAR: +6.0
The Outfield Fly Ruling
Josh Collmenter’s nickname, according to Baseball Reference, is “Tomahawk”. According to Wikipedia, here’s why:
His pitching mechanics, however, are the product of a childhood spent with his brothers entertaining themselves by throwing tomahawks at things such as snakes and trees.
Well, that’s pretty cool. Perhaps having a Tomahawk on his chest can make him feel more comfortable in his role as a swingman 6th starter / long reliever. Collmenter is a player you like to have around, but you don’t really want to have to use him all that much, especially with the aging legs of Nick Markakis and Matt Kemp having to chase down all the inevitable flyballs. Like cheese with wine, his ability to throw multiple innings at once pairs nicely with the occasional RA Dickey meltdown start.
The OFR Scouting Report
- Cutter (66%) (85 mph) – Lots of movement, not a lot of swing-and-miss
- Changeup (26%) (77 mph) – Lots of movement, induces some grounders, but also a high SLG allowed
- 12-6 Knuckle Curve (7%) (71 mph) – Rarely used, not typically a K pitch
Stamina – 40
Collmenter has never exclusively been a starter in any of his 6 MLB seasons, but as he showed after coming to Atlanta, he’s still capable of giving you starter-like innings in smaller samples.
Walk Avoidance – 50
He has swung in multiple directions here, exhibiting control that was both excellent (1.8 BB/9 with Arizona in 2015) and subpar (4.4 with Arizona in 2016). The bigger samples show better control, but he’s past 30 and pitching irregularly, so perhaps going right down the middle is the safest grade.
Strikeouts – 40
Collmenter is looking for contact when he throws his cutter/change duo at hitters, and he’s pretty good at finding it. He’ll pick up a few K’s here and there, but it’s not a big part of his game.
Groundball Rate – 40
For a guy who relies on a cutter and changeup so regularly, Collmenter doesn’t generate many groundballs. Luckily for him, the cutter induces plenty of weak contact, so even if it’s in the air, it doesn’t come back to bite him as much as it might others.
20-80 scale, where 20 will prevent you from reaching the bigs, 30 is terrible, 40 is below average, 50 is MLB average, 60 is plus, 70 is plus-plus, and 80 is HOF-level. The OFR Scouting Report is based mostly on statistical forecasting models such as ZiPs, PECOTA, etc. Arrows indicate projected room for growth or decline, with each representing a 5 point movement on the 20-80 scale.
Walk Off Walk