5-10, 150 lbs
Acquired: Signed as international free agent, 7/2/11
2016 salary: Minor league contract
Team control: 6 years of major league service
Combined WAR: (yet to make MLB debut)
The Outfield Fly Ruling
One of few Braves prospects from Nicaragua, Obregon is a middle infielder with Carolina who has progressed through the system steadily. He lacks a highlight tool, nor a collection of tools that help him stand out among other borderline infield prospects the Braves have, but similar to Daniel Castro, there is enough here which could get him to the majors at some point (- T. Poe, 6/16)
The OFR Scouting Report
20-80 scale, where 20 will prevent you from reaching the bigs, 30 is terrible, 40 is below average, 50 is MLB average, 60 is plus, 70 is plus-plus, and 80 is HOF-level.
Hit: 25 (current) / 45 (future)
Obregon shows good plate awareness and in a shade over 1000 plate appearances during his minor league career (as of June, 2016), Obregon has struck out 130 times. On the other hand, he also doesn’t walk much (101 times). With a quick swing from both sides of the plate, Obregon serves the ball up the middle with regularity and rarely flies out. He shows a slightly higher pull rate against left-handed pitchers than right-handed, but not enough sample size to make much of a determination. His biggest asset is his bat control and that it allows him to take advantage of the defense for hits.
Power: 20 (current) / 25 (future)
While Obregon has a bit better ISO than seasons past, a nearly fifty point raise over his previous best only gets Obregon to .095 ISO. Because of a level swing, Obregon is unlikely to add much more pop to his 5’10” frame, though he has enough speed and makes enough solid contact to think his previous high of eleven doubles and 15 extra-base hits won’t remain his personal best for too long. Nevertheless, he’s over a thousand plate appearances into his career and has zero homeruns.
Obregon’s speed is an asset, but his ability to use that speed has been a weakness to this point. Because of his hitting style, his speed can lead him to infield singles and he’s rarely doubled up. On base, his speed helps on batted balls, but Obregon lacks the skillset or instincts to use his speed as a weapon. Of 85 career stolen base attempts, Obregon has been successful 50 times (59%). While he should improve that rate with experience, Obregon is unlikely to be a stolen base threat that teams must pay a significant amount of attention to.
My grade on his defense should be taken as an overall average. As a second baseman, that grade improves to 55 – maybe 60 – as he can better use his good range with an arm that is more-than-solid for second base. Obregon has played more of second since Ozzie Albies joined him at Danville in 2014 and has stuck with the position since. Before that, he played more short, where his range and arm don’t look nearly as promising. He’s also played first base and third base to go with a cameo in left field, but we haven’t seen enough of him at any of those positions to grade him properly.