2015 MLB Reverse Standings

Draft position for the MLB First Player Draft (the Rule 4 draft ) is determined by the Reverse Standings, or the reverse order of finish in the 2015 season. In addition to their normal draft slots, teams are awarded compensation picks (if they failed to sign a draft pick in their previous draft) and competitive balance picks (awarded in a lottery to the teams in the smallest markets and/or with the smallest revenue pool).

The race for the top pick in the draft is not something in which a team wants to find itself, as this usually signifies them having a terrible season. However, if a team is going to have a bad season, then having a top five or top three draft pick greatly increases their chances of selecting an impact player, as our own Micah Smith recently wrote. Ben Lindbergh with Grantland (a great baseball writer to follow at a great site) wrote last week on the differences on the contributions of players selected at different positions in the draft.

WAR contributions relative to draft position and players selected. (Data from Baseball-Reference.com via Grantland.com)
WAR contributions relative to draft position and players selected. (Data from Baseball-Reference.com via Grantland.com)

 

Picking once in a generation players like Chipper Jones is certainly not the norm in the MLB draft. Players typically take several years to work their way through the minors and become contributors at the big league level. But recent top draft picks like Bryce Harper (2010), Gerrit Cole (2011), Carlos Correa (2012), and David Price (2007) are helping their teams become competitive again, and, in the case of Harper and Price, becoming once in a generation type players themselves.

Below is the projected draft order for the 2016 MLB Draft. Competitive balance picks and compensatory picks are not included.

Reverse Standings will be updated overnight after all daily games have been completed.

Rk Tm Lg G W L W-L% ▴ Strk R RA Rdiff pythWL Luck vRHP vLHP
1 PHI NL 162 63 99 .389 W 1 3.9 5.0 -1.1 62-100 1 45-79 18-20
2 CIN NL 162 64 98 .395 L 1 4.0 4.7 -0.7 69-93 -5 49-71 15-27
3 ATL NL 162 67 95 .414 W 3 3.5 4.7 -1.2 61-101 6 54-72 13-23
4 OAK AL 162 68 94 .420 L 1 4.3 4.5 -0.2 77-85 -9 53-62 15-32
5 COL NL 162 68 94 .420 W 1 4.5 5.2 -0.7 71-91 -3 57-62 11-32
6 MIL NL 162 68 94 .420 L 4 4.0 4.5 -0.5 72-90 -4 49-74 19-20
7 MIA NL 162 71 91 .438 L 1 3.8 4.2 -0.4 74-88 -3 57-72 14-19
8 SDP NL 162 74 88 .457 L 3 4.0 4.5 -0.5 72-90 2 55-67 19-21
9 DET AL 161 74 87 .460 W 1 4.3 5.0 -0.7 69-92 5 53-70 21-17
10 SEA AL 162 76 86 .469 W 1 4.0 4.5 -0.4 74-88 2 54-54 22-32
11 CHW AL 162 76 86 .469 L 1 3.8 4.3 -0.5 72-90 4 58-68 18-18
12 BOS AL 162 78 84 .481 L 4 4.6 4.6 0.0 81-81 -3 57-59 21-25
13 ARI NL 162 79 83 .488 W 1 4.4 4.4 0.0 82-80 -3 60-61 19-22
14 TBR AL 162 80 82 .494 W 2 4.0 4.0 0.0 81-81 -1 50-59 30-23
  Avg     80 80 .500   4.2 4.3   81-80   59-58 21-22
15 BAL AL 162 81 81 .500 W 5 4.4 4.3 0.1 83-79 -2 59-58 22-23
16 CLE AL 161 81 80 .503 W 3 4.2 4.0 0.2 84-77 -3 57-49 24-31
17 MIN AL 162 83 79 .512 L 3 4.3 4.3 0.0 81-81 2 55-53 28-26
18 WSN NL 162 83 79 .512 L 1 4.3 3.9 0.4 89-73 -6 60-63 23-16
19 SFG NL 162 84 78 .518 L 1 4.3 3.9 0.4 89-73 -5 62-56 22-22
20 LAA AL 162 85 77 .525 L 1 4.1 4.2 -0.1 79-83 6 60-55 25-22
21 HOU AL 162 86 76 .531 L 1 4.5 3.8 0.7 93-69 -7 56-45 30-31
22 NYY AL 162 87 75 .537 L 3 4.7 4.3 0.4 88-74 -1 60-52 27-23
23 TEX AL 162 88 74 .543 W 1 4.6 4.5 0.1 83-79 5 53-43 35-31
24 NYM NL 162 90 72 .556 W 1 4.2 3.8 0.4 89-73 1 70-56 20-16
25 LAD NL 162 92 70 .568 W 4 4.1 3.7 0.4 89-73 3 67-51 25-19
26 TOR AL 162 93 69 .574 L 2 5.5 4.1 1.4 102-60 -9 73-54 20-15
27 KCR AL 162 95 67 .586 W 5 4.5 4.0 0.5 90-72 5 64-40 31-27
28 CHC NL 162 97 65 .599 W 8 4.3 3.8 0.5 90-72 7 77-51 20-14
29 PIT NL 162 98 64 .605 W 1 4.3 3.7 0.6 93-69 5 78-48 20-16
30 STL NL 162 100 62 .617 L 3 4.0 3.2 0.8 96-66 4 75-44 25-18
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 10/5/2015.

 

About Chris Jervis 69 Articles
Chris Jervis is an accountant in the Atlanta area. He's long had an interest in baseball, and, being a numbers nerd, loves analyzing player performances. He also likes to argue and is kind of an ass.

1 Trackback / Pingback

  1. Accursed Number: A Look at the Magic Number for the Worst Record in Baseball - Outfield Fly Rule

Leave a Reply

[sc name="HeaderGoogleAnlytics"]